Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.018007 0.019839 0.021684 0.023678 0.025766 0.027884 0.030191
2025-06-22 0.014160 0.016985 0.019952 0.023279 0.026884 0.030652 0.034872
2025-06-29 0.011531 0.014844 0.018445 0.022598 0.027208 0.032128 0.037735
2025-07-06 0.009333 0.012896 0.016898 0.021633 0.027004 0.032837 0.039586
2025-07-13 0.008298 0.012150 0.016591 0.021952 0.028129 0.034922 0.042862
2025-07-20 0.007170 0.011177 0.015926 0.021774 0.028617 0.036233 0.045223
2025-07-27 0.006217 0.010326 0.015330 0.021611 0.029065 0.037452 0.047437
2025-08-03 0.005790 0.010101 0.015458 0.022276 0.030451 0.039717 0.050815
2025-08-10 0.005006 0.009336 0.014866 0.022030 0.030729 0.040682 0.052689
2025-08-17 0.004295 0.008604 0.014266 0.021732 0.030911 0.041507 0.054379
2025-08-24 0.003714 0.007999 0.013789 0.021553 0.031209 0.042446 0.056179
2025-08-31 0.003127 0.007326 0.013181 0.021176 0.031239 0.043047 0.057570
2025-09-07 0.002667 0.006839 0.012848 0.021202 0.031840 0.044422 0.059989
2025-09-14 0.002121 0.006152 0.012211 0.020827 0.031953 0.045239 0.061790
2025-09-21 0.001588 0.005393 0.011410 0.020186 0.031696 0.045581 0.063005
2025-09-28 0.001089 0.004575 0.010450 0.019278 0.031060 0.045431 0.063607
2025-10-05 0.000913 0.004360 0.010384 0.019578 0.031959 0.047145 0.066429
2025-10-12 0.000681 0.003961 0.009998 0.019411 0.032236 0.048084 0.068311
2025-10-19 0.000493 0.003599 0.009638 0.019257 0.032516 0.049015 0.070174
2025-10-26 0.000434 0.003568 0.009823 0.019883 0.033821 0.051219 0.073578
2025-11-02 0.000288 0.003214 0.009430 0.019652 0.033977 0.051981 0.075226
2025-11-09 0.000172 0.002868 0.009019 0.019372 0.034052 0.052631 0.076729
2025-11-16 0.000095 0.002586 0.008694 0.019203 0.034265 0.053445 0.078426